Category: Manuscript2

Analysis With Financial Ratios of Effects of 1994 – 2001 Economic Crisis Experienced in Turkish Economy and 2008 Global Economic Crisis on Manufacturing Industry Sector

Analysis With Financial Ratios of Effects of 1994 – 2001 Economic Crisis Experienced in Turkish Economy and 2008 Global Economic Crisis on Manufacturing Industry Sector

Article Information
Journal: Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article: Analysis With Financial Ratios of Effects of 1994 – 2001 Economic Crisis Experienced in Turkish Economy and 2008 Global Economic Crisis on Manufacturing Industry Sector
Author(s): Suleyman Serdar Karaca, Resid Cigdem
Volume: 4
Number: 3
Year: 2013
Page: 41-54
ISSN: 1309-2448
Abstract

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of economical crises occurred in Turkey in 1994 and 2001 and encountered globally in 2008 on Turkish Manufacture Industry. For this aim, effects of the crises on the manufacture industry were revealed by Factor and Discrimination Analysis using financial ratios. In this study, financial ratios, liquidity ratios, ratios related to financial structure, activity ratios, profitability ratios and exchange performance ratios were utilized. 15 financial ratios obtained from the financial statements between 1991 and 2011 of 135 firms operated in manufacture industry and included in İstanbul Stok Exchange (ISE) 100 index were used. Those financial ratios were grouped in three factors (productivity, risk and profitability) by Factor Analysis. Discrimination Analysis was treated to those three factors and the efficiencies of those factors in the discrimination of pre- and post of 1994, 2001 and 2008 crises were formulized. In the results, risk and profitability were found to be efficient, but productivity was inefficient.

Keywords: Financial Crisis, Manufacturing Industry, Financial Ratios, Factor Analysis, Discrimination Analysis

JEL Classification: G01,C38

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The Analysis of Relationship between the Rate of Stock Return and Interest Rate with Nonlinear Methods: The Case of Turkey

The Analysis of Relationship between the Rate of Stock Return and Interest Rate with Nonlinear Methods: The Case of Turkey

Article Information
Journal: Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article: The Analysis of Relationship between the Rate of Stock Return and Interest Rate with Nonlinear Methods: The Case of Turkey
Author(s): Yusuf Ekrem Akbas
Volume: 4
Number: 3
Year: 2013
Page: 21-40
ISSN: 1309-2448
Abstract

In this study, it was analyzed the structure of stationary of Istanbul Stock Exchange return rate and interest rate series and whether it’s are linear in the period of 1986:01-2012:07. It was used linearity and unit root tests developed by Caner and Hansen (2002). As a result of these tests, it was concluded that the series are non-linear and both of series have two regimes. Besides, it was concluded that both of two regimes have unit root in the series of interest rate and first regime has stationary, second regime has also unit root in Istanbul Stock Exchange return rate series. Finally, the model in which Istanbul Stock Exchange is dependent variable, interest rate is explanatory variable was analyzed whether there is a co integration with Hansen-Seo (2002) test. As a result of analysis it was determined the co integration relationship between the interest rate and Istanbul Stock Exchange return rate.

Keywords: Stock Return Rate, Interest Rate, Non-linearity, Non-Linear Unit Root Test, Non-Linear Cointegration Test, Turkey.

JEL Classification: E44, E43, C22

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Telecommunications Infrastructure and Economic Growth: An Application for Different Income Groups

Telecommunications Infrastructure and Economic Growth: An Application for Different Income Groups

Article Information
Journal: Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article: Telecommunications Infrastructure and Economic Growth: An Application for Different Income Groups;
Author(s): Enver Alper Guvel, Cengiz Aytun
Volume: 4
Number: 3
Year: 2013
Page: 1-20
ISSN: 1309-2448
Abstract

The aim of this study is to research the relationship between the telecommunication infrastructure and economic growth for countries which have different income levels. Along with this purpose, the data collected from 138 countries at total in five different income groups is used with covering the period of the years 1991-2009. As a method, the dynamic panel data analysis which composes the facilities of the cross sectional analysis and the time series analysis is used. The findings indicate that the information and telecommunication technologies are statistically positive and significant determinants of growth for all income groups except for the high income non-OECD group. This positive effect is higher in the low income groups.

Keywords:Information and Telecommunication Technologies, Growth, Information Society, Panel Data Analysis.

JEL Classification:C23, L63, O40, L86, L96

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The Role of Transaction Cost Theory in the Tradition of New Institutional Economics and Recent Developments

The Role of Transaction Cost Theory in the Tradition of New Institutional Economics and Recent Developments

Article Information
Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article:The Role of Transaction Cost Theory in the Tradition of New Institutional Economics and Recent Developments
Author(s): Tugba Gurcaylilar-Yenidogan
Volume: 4
Number: 2
Year: 2013
Page:109-134
ISSN:1309-2448
Abstract

This study gives guidance on the transaction cost factors triggering the organizational choice among alternative governance forms and aims to identify areas for future research. Providing an introductory discussion on the role of transaction cost theory in the tradition of new institutional economics the study here treats the explanation capacity on governance issue of the conceptual models based on transaction cost theory from a critical perspective. Ongoing empirical research on governance choice provides findings supported by the arguments of resource-based view and relational view of governance in addition to the transaction cost theory. Accordingly, this study concludes by providing some insights on possible areas of future research.

Keywords:Transaction cost theory, governance choice, governance problems, empirical literature

JEL Classification:L14, A12

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Estimation Fractional Integration Parameter and an Application to Major Turkish Financial Time Series

Estimation Fractional Integration Parameter and an Application to Major Turkish Financial Time Series

Article Information
Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article:Estimation Fractional Integration Parameter and an Application to Major Turkish Financial Time Series
Author(s): Mehmet Pekkaya
Volume: 4
Number: 2
Year: 2013
Page:91-107
ISSN:1309-2448
Abstract

In this study, integration degrees of monthly logarithmic return series of ISE100 Index, interest rate, and exchange rate basket, are estimated for last 60 months by using monthly time series of 2002-2012. According to the results of the analysis, FI degrees at 24 month period between 2008-2009 years, when USA based global mortgage crises was effected, the average of FI degrees in the following 36 months period, their statistical significance prominently increased in all series. In spite of the improvement in integration degrees, average value of last 36 month FI degrees of ISE100 series are even at low values and weak in terms of statistically significance. Even if estimated FI values of ISE100 Index and interest rate are weak in terms of statistically significance, these series sometimes have the long memory properties. Then, it cannot be wrong to accept interest rate and especially ISE100 Index behave with respect to short term dynamics. However, exchange rate series for the same period has the evident properties of medium memory FI degree with -0.23117.

Keywords:Fractional integration, FI parameter, financial time series.

JEL Classification:C10, C22, C58, G10

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Asymmetric Behavior of Unemployment Analysis with Regime Switching Models in Turkey

Asymmetric Behavior of Unemployment Analysis with Regime Switching Models in Turkey

Article Information
Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article:Asymmetric Behavior of Unemployment Analysis with Regime Switching Models in Turkey
Author(s): Tayfur Bayat, Selim Kayhan, Ali Kocyigit
Volume: 4
Number: 2
Year: 2013
Page:79-90
ISSN:1309-2448
Abstract

In this study, asymmetric behavior of unemployment rate is investigated between years 1923 and 2011. In this regard, we employ linear unit root tests and Markov Switching model. According to unit root test results, unemployment rate data is not stationary in level, while the first difference of data is stationary. Markov switching analysis results indicate that the unemployment rate behaves asymmetrically between years 1923 and 1950, continuously. In the light of these results, it is understood that the structure of unemployment rate is nonlinear and it moves between two regimes. Another important result is that there are rigidities in unemployment rate after 50’s. The unemployment rate does not decrease below percentage 7 since 1974, except 1996, 1998 and 2000. In a manner of speaking, after it shifted to contraction regime, the unemployment rate keeps in this regime. In this concept, unemployment rate represents a downward rigidity between years 1950 and 2011.

Keywords:Unemployment rate, Unit root tests, BDS test, Nonlinearity, Markov switching model.

JEL Classification:C32, E24, J64

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Means – End Chain Theory and Laddering Technique: Applications in Consumer Behavior Research

Means – End Chain Theory and Laddering Technique: Applications in Consumer Behavior Research

Article Information
Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article:Means – End Chain Theory and Laddering Technique: Applications in Consumer Behavior Research
Author(s): Ayca Kangal
Volume: 4
Number: 2
Year: 2013
Page:55-78
ISSN:1309-2448
Abstract

Means – end chain (MEC) theory and laddering technique uncovers the decision making process of consumers related to marketing offerings such as goods, services and experiences in a cognitive approach from a consumer perspective view which are popularly used approaches in marketing context. The purpose of the study is to discusss and present the laddering techique to Turkish literature, which is a frequently used qualitative research method in consumer behavior, both with related theoretical structure and practice. With this purpose, the overview of the literature within the frame of means – end chain theory, practices in consumer behavior, laddering technique, data collection, data analyze and interperation steps, limits of the laddering technique and alternatives of soft laddering (hard laddering) is discussed. Laddering technique among with alternative data collection tools are anticipated Turkish researchers’ interest.

Keywords:Means – end chain (MEC), laddering technique, hard laddering, qualitative research, consumer behavior.

JEL Classification:M30, M31

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A Study to Investigate the Effect of Customer Value on Customer Satisfaction, Brand Loyalty and Customer Relationship Management Performance

A Study to Investigate the Effect of Customer Value on Customer Satisfaction, Brand Loyalty and Customer Relationship Management Performance

Article Information
Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article:A Study to Investigate the Effect of Customer Value on Customer Satisfaction, Brand Loyalty and Customer Relationship Management Performance
Author(s): Berrin Onaran, Zeki Atil Bulut, Alparslan Ozmen
Volume: 4
Number: 2
Year: 2013
Page:37-53
ISSN:1309-2448
Abstract

Beyond satisfying needs, customer value is the key to establish and maintain long run relationships. Hence, providing excellent customer value as a driving force of customer relationships management performance plays a key role in gaining sustainable competitive advantage. The aim of this research is to investigate the relationships among dimensions of customer value, customer satisfaction, brand loyalty and customer relationship management performance. Data obtained from customers of thermal hotels in Afyon, was analyzed by using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). Results reveal that emotional value being the most influential dimension and social value being the least influential one, dimensions of customer value affect customer satisfaction directly by 80%. Besides, it is revealed that customer satisfaction has strong effect on customer relationship management performance and brand loyalty and considerable part of this effect is mediated by the indirect effect of customer value. Thus, we can say that dimensions of customer value has an indirect effect on customer relationship management performance and brand loyalty mediated by customer satisfaction.

Keywords:Customer Value, Customer Satisfaction, Brand Loyalty, Customer Relationship Management Performance

JEL Classification:M31, L83

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The Profitability Analysis of the Largest 1000 Industrial Firms in Turkey

The Profitability Analysis of the Largest 1000 Industrial Firms in Turkey

Article Information
Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article:The Profitability Analysis of the Largest 1000 Industrial Firms in Turkey
Author(s): H. Aydin Okuyan
Volume: 4
Number: 2
Year: 2013
Page:23-36
ISSN:1309-2448
Abstract

This study aims to explain the factors affecting the profitability among Turkish industrial firms. The determination of the factors which may influance profitability enables firms to work more effectively and to control their profits much easily. For this reason, the top 500 and the second batch of 500 largest firms, determined each year by Istanbul Chamber of Industry, have been taken as the data set. Panel data pertaining, to the top 1000 firms have been analyzed. It has been found that there is an inverse relationship between profitability rate and level of debt. The relationship between profitability and size has also been found as inverse. On the other hand, a positive relationship has been found between workforce efficiency and the level of exports of a firm.The findings also suggest that foreign partnership firms are more profitable than domestic businesses and private firms are more profitable mthan state owned firms enterprises.

Keywords:Profitability, Panel Models

JEL Classification:G32,C23

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Fama and French Three-Factor Model: Evidence from Istanbul Stock Exchange

Fama and French Three-Factor Model: Evidence from Istanbul Stock Exchange

Article Information
Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article:Fama and French Three-Factor Model: Evidence from Istanbul Stock Exchange
Author(s): Veysel Eraslan
Volume: 4
Number: 2
Year: 2013
Page:11-22
ISSN:1309-2448
Abstract

This study tests the validity of the Fama and French three-factor asset pricing model on the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE). Monthly excess stock returns over the period from 2003 to 2010 are used in the analysis. Realized returns show that portfolios containing large firms have higher average excess returns than portfolios containing smaller sized firms. Generally, portfolios containing low book-to-market ratio firms perform better than those containing high book-to-market ratio firms. Nine portfolios are constructed according to size and book-to-market ratio of firms in order to explain the variations on excess portfolio returns by using market risk factor, size risk factor and book-to-market ratio risk factors. Size factor has no effect on portfolios having big-size firms but can explain the excess return variations on portfolios having small and medium-sized firms. Book-to-market ratio factor has an effect on portfolios with high book-to-market ratio firms. Fama and French three-factor model has power on explaining variations on excess portfolio returns but this power is not strong throughout the test period on the ISE.

Keywords:Asset pricing, book-to-market ratio, Fama and French three factor model, risk, excess return.

JEL Classification:G, G1, G12

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