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Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Industrial Production in the Euro Area

Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Industrial Production in the Euro Area

Article Information
Journal: Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article: Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Industrial Production in the Euro Area
Author(s): Mehtap Ozenen Kavlak, Bulent Gunsoy, Muzeyyen Anil Senyel Kurkcuoglu, Saye Nihan Cabuk, Ahmet Dabanli
Volume: 12
Number: 4
Year: 2021
Page: 767-786
ISSN: 2619-9491
DOI Number: 10.20409/berj.2021.351
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic triggered a financial crisis having deeper effects than the global financial crisis that took place in 2008. Large-scale monetary and fiscal measures have been taken globally to minimize the negative outcomes of the pandemic regarding domestic demand, foreign trade, and tourism activities. The aim of this study is to determine how the changes caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in the Eurozone countries affect the macroeconomic indicators. The findings obtained within the scope of the study were mapped in the Geographic Information Systems (GIS) environment. In this study, the economic effects of the pandemic on the Eurozone countries are evaluated in terms of the gross domestic product (GDP), one of the most important indicators for evaluating the strength of the country’s economies and development levels, inflation, unemployment, and industrial production. It was seen that the negative effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Eurozone economies manifested themselves in the first quarter of 2020 (Q1) and these effects reached their maximum level in the second quarter (Q2) of the same year. The recovery period and the positive trends signaling a way out of this crisis are observed to start in the third quarter (Q3). The economic developments in this period emerged from the normalization attempts and the relaxation of the tight restriction measures which had been put into practice at the beginning of the pandemic process. The restrictions aiming to prevent the spread of pandemic caused contractions in tourism, industry, and other sectors while resulting in unemployment in these sectors. Switching back to normal, gave way decreases in unemployment rates in the related sectors.

Keywords: COVID-19, Pandemic, Macroeconomics, Eurozone Countries, Geographic Information Systems

JEL Classification: F41, E12

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The Effects of Renewable and Non-renewable Energy Consumption and Economic Growth on CO2 Emissions: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries

The Effects of Renewable and Non-renewable Energy Consumption and Economic Growth on CO2 Emissions: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries

Article Information
Journal: Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article: The Effects of Renewable and Non-renewable Energy Consumption and Economic Growth on CO2 Emissions: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries
Author(s): Salih Turedi, Necati Turedi
Volume: 12
Number: 4
Year: 2021
Page: 751-765
ISSN: 2619-9491
DOI Number: 10.20409/berj.2021.350
Abstract
This study examines the effects of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth on CO2 emissions for 53 developing countries during the period 1990-2014. For this purpose, the study employs a two-step difference Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach. Empirical results show that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions, which shows the validity of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis. The effect of renewable energy consumption (REC) on CO2 emissions was found to be negative and significant, while the effect of non-renewable energy consumption (NREC) was positive and significant. Moreover, both renewable and non-renewable energy consumption positively affect economic growth. Thus, for developing countries aiming to reduce CO2 emissions and the consequent environmental pollution, it is necessary to reduce the share of NREC in total energy consumption and to increase the share of REC. Furthermore, because NREC positively affects economic growth, the efficiency of non-renewable energy resources should be increased in order not to damage the economic growth process while decreasing the use.

Keywords: Renewable Energy Consumption, Non-renewable Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, CO2 Emissions, Developing Countries

JEL Classification: O44, Q40, Q53

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The Marshall-Lerner Condition in the Fragile Five Economies: Evidence from the ARDL Bounds Test Approach

The Marshall-Lerner Condition in the Fragile Five Economies: Evidence from the ARDL Bounds Test Approach

Article Information
Journal: Business and Economics Research Journal
Title of Article: The Marshall-Lerner Condition in the Fragile Five Economies: Evidence from the ARDL Bounds Test Approach
Author(s): Ayrton J. C. Amaral, Marthinus C. Breitenbach
Volume: 12
Number: 4
Year: 2021
Page: 731-750
ISSN: 2619-9491
DOI Number: 10.20409/berj.2021.349
Abstract
This paper evaluates the Marshall-Lerner condition in the fragile five economies of Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa, and Turkey and, in the process, offers an indication of whether the evaluation of this condition is subject to the limitations that have previously been identified in the literature. This research is novel as it studies a set of countries known as the fragile five, often overlooked in the literature. The ARDL Bounds methodology is used to estimate separate export and import demand equations. Results of the study show little evidence supporting the validity of the Marshall-Lerner condition in these five countries. All the models, except for those relating to Turkey, show signs of underlying issues such as model misspecification. The results imply that future empirical work on the Marshall-Lerner condition, particularly work centred on the fragile five, would likely need to address these underlying empirical issues in order to produce more consistent results.

Keywords: Marshall-Lerner Condition, Fragile Five, ARDL Bounds Test, Trade Elasticities, Emerging Markets

JEL Classification: F32, C22, C50

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